It would be like if xXx: Return of Xander Cage went toe-to-toe with Spectre or Fate of the Furious. And, yeah, in terms of taking once-was-popular franchises and successfully rebooting them into top-tier blockbusters, this level of success is unprecedented. I’m not going to say that overseas is “gravy,” but it certainly won’t need a Chinese bailout for this one. I don’t have overseas updates yet ( update: it has now earned $213 million worldwide), but we’re talking about a $120 million sequel to a $90 million predecessor that just pulled a 3.1x weekend multiplier (almost unthinkable for a live-action movie in this day-and-age) and a $60.1 million Fri-Sun gross. It’s almost certain to be the year’s biggest “not a Disney flick or an MCU/DC Films movie” earner of the year in North America, with a solid shot of besting Hobbs & Shaw ($759 million) to be likewise worldwide.
Even a multiplier like the Hobbit movies (or Rogue One) gets it to $216 million, while a run like Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows ($186 million from a $39 million launch), What Women Want ($181 million/$33 million) and Ocean’s 11 ($183 million/$38 million) gets it a domestic finish between $286 million and $330 million. Even if it’s not as leggy as the last movie, Jumanji: The Next Level has earned $60.1 million in its first three days. Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle is still the biggest non-Disney/non-Universal/non-comic book grosser since Paramount’s Transformers: Age of Extinction back in 2014. The closest thing that comes to mind is (by default) Universal’s Fast & Furious series, which began life as an overperforming B-movie franchise about street racing thieves and evolved into an A-level franchise that rivals the 007 series, the Mission: Impossible films and essentially anything else that isn’t the MCU, a Disney 90’s nostalgia play or a Star Wars movie. Jumanji was a movie that earned $100 million domestic in 1995 mostly on the strength of Robin Williams and then-groundbreaking CGI effects that brought the book’s boardgame adventure to life. The likes of Star Trek, The Force Awakens, Batman Begins, Spider-Man: Homecoming, Casino Royale and Jurassic World took formerly A-level franchises (the first two Star Trek movies both broke the opening weekend records in 19) and returned them, if only temporarily, to top-tier blockbuster status.
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